Author: Aden Davies

The problem(s) with fintech influencer lists

Another day another fintech influencers list drops on Twitter to a clamour of people checking if and where they are on the list then sharing it wildly if they are or are not. This behaviour pattern then strengthens the very models used to calculate these lists, people who talk about certain subjects with a group of like minded people form a self referencing echo chamber that ossifies over time as the same voices are heard over and over and their position at the top is cemented and their Twitter followership blossoms. The majority of those voices are rightly at the top (great minds, regular output, high quality insights and experiences), some not so much, some that should be way higher and the big problem is that new voices tend to get drowned out.

That being said lists work, they appeal to our vapid ego (I can’t deny I enjoy being on them or miffed when I am not), they must certainly deliver traffic, they conjure up debate over nothingness (I mean look at this pointless drivel I have written) I also believe they are useful in certain contexts and much of my frustration is born out of how they could be so much better. We will get to that but let’s concentrate on the problem first.

I should also add that as a person who very recently made the decision to be unemployed then this post could be seen as a foolish attack on the very ecosystem and network that I should be using more wisely to ‘strengthen my personal brand’. This however is what I believe and is a truer reflection of my flawed self.

These lists also feel like a bit of a time warp. We used to get lists of social media influencers 5 or 6 years ago and the same debates and behaviours occurred then. So let’s regurgitate and revisit.

The lists – Here are a few recent examples of the genre.

The City AM Top 100 Fintech Influencers list. ‘These are the most influential people in UK Fintech’ This list boldly announces. This list is a self selecting list. You put your name down to be included and then I assume some human decides whether you are worthy. The calculation used is not that clear but is based on Klout and was apparently tweaked in June to make it ‘fairer’. The list updates every other Thursday giving a burst of regular interest as people get notified if they have gone up the charts.

This was the list that seeded this post a while back as it just annoyed me for some reason. I decided to register myself and my bot. If all these other chancers were on it then I should be! (sad little man). I made it on but the bot did not. He would be higher than me as his Klout and Twitter following is much higher than mine. Anamataphobia…

I am somewhere in the 60s on this list at the time of writing. I am ahead of Nektarios Liolios the CEO of Startup Bootcamp and Yoni Assia who founded super social trading platform eToro. I was a middle manager at a large bank struggling to get people to understand what the Internet was. Laughable/embarrassing.

City AM also have a list for people in the P2P/Crowdfunding/Alternative Finance space which I prefer as it is more targeted than the Fintech list.

We have the Onalytica Fintech 2015 Top 100 Influencers List. A list that includes both humans and ‘brands’. It is another decent list of smart folk. This list is built using Onalytica’s own influencer marketing software. he downside being that this list has some very clear examples of an unpleasant trend, that of buying followers. Number one in the brand list is a company called @DNotesCoin. 750 tweets, two likes, joined 18th of February 2014, 27k followers. They must have been some influential tweets or that TV campaign must have been a smash.

Jay Palters Top 100 Fintech Influencers List. The list was seeded with the authors known experts and he then used Little Bird to pull out a wider list of experts / voices in similar fields. Starting with same people will probably bring the same network but I like what Jay did with this list. He clearly shares his working out and even mentions some flaws and I have been a fan of Little Bird for quite some time. One tip I have is to add a rank number to his spreadsheet though to save sad little people like me having to count the rows to work out my sad little place on the list! 52 I think.

I am a little confused by some the scoring mechanisms but they did make me laugh. Apparently I need to improve my ’emergence score’. I have been doing this by jumping out on the kids more scarily when playing hide and seek, leaping out of bed dramatically and by regularly pretending to be a blossoming flower.

Now ultimately these list are all based on a measure of something that feels ill defined overall and branded incorrectly. Influence. The volume and velocity of tweets as they spew out and get shared across the ether are the main scoring and ranking mechanism. The more followers the more power. With that knowledge the word influencer loses meaning and that has long been troubling.

A final example is the personally chosen list. This list by Duena Blomstrom is a nice example of a well known and respected lady in the ‘Fintech scene’ who has named some people she respects and deems worthy of following to learn more about the associated topics. I am included / mildly insulted in this list and that is again both nice and a good way of kicking me up the back side to do more. I feel this has more impact than semi-automatically generated rankings and I also like to see more personal insights into who a person finds interesting and why etc.
What even is an Influencer?

Let’s take a look at the etymology (origin) of the word influencer. It contains some useful insights and prescient views on how it is used today. From the Online Etymology Dictionary

‘The word originally had the general sense ‘an influx, flowing matter’, also specifically (in astrology) ‘the flowing in of ethereal fluid (affecting human destiny)’. The sense ‘imperceptible or indirect action exerted to cause changes’ was established in Scholastic Latin by the 13th century’

Ethereal fluid merchants has a much better ring to it than influencers doesn’t it?

late 14c., an astrological term, “streaming ethereal power from the stars when in certain positions, acting upon character or destiny of men,” from Old French influence”emanation from the stars that acts upon one’s character and destiny” (13c.),

Always about men. That might explain the lack of ladies on these lists.

Also “a flow of water, a flowing in,” from Medieval Latin influentia “a flowing in” (also used in the astrological sense), from Latin influentem (nominative influens), present participle of influere “to flow into, stream in, pour in,” from in- “into, in, on, upon” (see in- (2)) + fluere “to flow” (see fluent). 

Flow…flowing….fluent, effortlessly fluent or effluent for short.

‘Meaning “exertion of unseen influence by persons” is from 1580s (a sense already in Medieval Latin, for instance Aquinas); meaning “capacity for producing effects by insensible or invisible means” is from 1650s. Under the influence (of alcohol, etc.) “drunk” first attested 1866.

So influencers make people drink? I am pretty guilty on that count actually…in multiple ways.

“capacity for producing effects by insensible or invisible means” Perfection.

It is clear what influence really means, to have the power to change / enforce people’s thinking and actions. Fair enough. If what I do / say helps someone with that in a positive way I am very happy about that. It feels like a strange form of influence to me though, maybe that is my personal view on the value of work and what I am good at. If it was more clear to me/others why people were included in these lists and where they ranked (He is good at Twitter or blogging or talking about subject X?) that would improve these lists tenfold and my comfort with being on them and my desire to be higher. More why please.

Is the phrase influencer just too vague to be meaningful? Maybe it is my hatred of it that holds me back from embracing it. I should be more bold and shout from the hilltops “I AM AN INFLUENCER!”

I made a decision to outsource my link machine nature to fintechbot (robots are taking our jobs). It now has more followers than me and a better Klout score, if it was allowed onto any of these lists it would be more influential than me. I think I would actually prefer that. A semi-automatic machine being better at climbing semi-automatic rankings.

I am lucky if my very infrequent blog posts get read in triple figures, I have no responsibility. No skin in the game. Just an ideas man. I am happy to be judged on those skills and I know my fragile ego enjoys being included. But an influencer? Really? Am I influential? I want to more clearly understand why I am on/not on these lists.

 

Silo slayers

Smash the silos they cry! As they point their fingers at the banks and their outmoded ways of working in the networked world. Yet are these lists themselves a silo? An algorithmic silo? Do the echo chambers they map actually create group think? The methods of ranking and measuring are based on the group talking and sharing, the same topics feed the group and feed the machines that rank us? We have the same set of people focusing on largely the same set of technology trends and beliefs as they rise up the peak of inflated expectations.

Just as we are in the middle of the great social media consolidation (trademark Matt Muir) does the thinking become constrained and destined for the same set of functionality and outcomes in banking? What happens when everyone has cracked big data driven insights, AI lead personalisation, robo everything, slick designed mobile and api first geolocation driven, distributed, cryptographicly proved, open, incubated, hackathoned, wearable, augmented, banking products and services that are born out of agile, continuously delivered unicorn chasing startup like design thinking.

What will we all talk about? Drones and VR and IoT probably as we try to shoe horn them into banking/fintech contexts.
False profits

One of my real bug bears is the power of Twitter followers in these rankings. I have worked hard i.e. tweeted a lot of mildly useful stuff/moaned/punned badly etc.) to earn my 3.5k followers over the last 7 or so years. I look at the following of some people and ‘brands’ on these lists and I think something does not add up. Therefore I would like to see follower ratio and other patterns observed. There are some great reads on this topic including this one and this one which shows some the tricks people use to gain followers. I know I should not hate the player but hate the game but it still rankles. I am equally annoyed at myself for caring about this nonsense. I wonder if anyone on these lists would be brave enough to admit to buying followers or getting involved with follow back schemes? The transparency most people in fintech crave from banks would be well observed in other areas.
Segmented solutions

I want more from these lists. I think they work if you are new to the topic or wanting a broad cross section of smart people to follow and learn more. For me though I want some categorisation.

Who is knowledgeable about payments? Investment Banking? Who is more tech than fin? Identity? APIs? Who is actually building something? Who is a consultant and this is their full time job? Who are the link machines? Who are the thinkers? Who are the writers? Who is the funniest? Who is the grumpiest? Who is the grumpiest and the funniest (Dave Birch or Ron Shevlin)? Who works in an actual bank and therefore is restricted in what they can say or are not allowed to speak at events to enable them to show off their wisdom, or otherwise, and grow their followership. Bitter much. No excuse now though either. All that takes either a very smart piece of software (How good is Little Bird?) or a lot of manual effort.

I want to see a list ranked on beliefs or qualities e.g. sound arguments, ability to prick pomposity (fintech pomposity prickers would be a list I’d follow and strive to be on). Call out flimsy arguments based on over leaned upon and probably US based statistics, make more of a debating ecosystem than self referencing circle jerks…or are they one in the same?

Who talked about something new? Who challenged? Who covers a specific geographic area well? These lists are very English language biased. I would like to see a geographic location for these people? How well represented is the Middle East? Africa? South America? What no Weibo lists?

What else could be done differently to drive greater value from these lists? Techmeme for financial services news? Where are the boundaries of FS and Fintech? Highlight great video talks? Slide decks. Or you know actual things being made.

Has anyone made a list of lists? Correlation between the lists to see who is on the most? Varying rank? Overall super influencer rank! Like Klout! Christ. I can see how easy it is too fall into this trap.
In summary

All these things are not easy. Pumping out lists based on Twitter followers/followees and the the conversation between said people against certain key words is. This will only ever be useful to a point. I think my own awkwardness at being on these lists but not being sure I am worthy/think I should be higher is an embarrassing paradox. Having said all this there are lots of very smart people on those lists. The majority are generous with sharing their thoughts, interests, links etc. do go and learn from them.

I know this post sounds like very, very sour grapes but I think deifying certain people/brands for their reckons and then ranking them on how many people real or otherwise are following them is false especially if it prevents other opinions being heard i.e. those making something real. The word influencer might be the real issue. It has become meaningless.

Also there are some obvious people missing from these lists. Where is Fred the shred? He must have had more influence on the whole fintech scene than all those lists combined. Not much cop on Twitter though is he?

Lists work, they appeal to our egos, they allows us to keep score and see where we fit but they are flawed and limited. Can we build more? Get more value out of this set of network tools we have? Build rabbit holes and webs to make it easier to go deeper on certain topics, unearth more voices, tunnel between ideas and ideals. I think we can and we should. Time to round up some influencers, what is the collective noun for fintech influencers I wonder?

 

PS If after all that you would like to employ me or ask me to write something (shorter) or speak at your conference (As well as long rambling posts I also do long rambling presentations as well) then please get in touch. I am currently ranked 62 on the City AM list, 52 on Jay Palter’s list and I am at the top of The Why-Have-they-(kinda)-Shut-up Guard’ on Duena’s list (this might change now I am a free man). Far more importantly some people just think I am not too unpleasant and relatively smart.

Finding something new

Hello. My Name is Aden Davies and as of the 7th of December 2015 I am unemployed for the first time in my adult life.

I would like that situation to be as temporary as possible. That being said I also want to take some time to learn and try a few new things.

For the last 17 years I have been employed by HSBC. The last seven and a half of those years have been spent working in the Innovation function. That entailed research in to new technologies and trends, proof of concepts, technical and strategic consultancy, a bit of teaching, secondments into multiple areas of the bank and lots of trying to connect people and ideas inside a massive global organisation. Most recently I have been working on API strategy and researching digital identity.

I would like to do something similar again. Maybe with a bit more freedom to experiment, a bit more autonomy and more chances to improve things for customers/users/people.

To help me prepare for my next role I am looking for

  • Contacts & introductions
  • Advice & guidance
  • Feel free to pick my brain (I know a bit about banking, fintech, innovation, collaboration, social technologies, linking ideas and people in massive global organisations  etc. etc.)
  • Training recommendations – Looking to sharpen my skills around strategic thinking, service design and maybe some softer skills
  • Invite me to speak at your conference on a panel or even a deliver a presentation or your workshop to wave my arms about and provide some reckons / keen insights.
  • I like to write. I would like to write much more.

But ultimately I am looking to start the next stage of my career and I am looking for a long term role. Ideally in the realms of digital transformation/innovation/strategy.  If you have anything to offer or can help in any way then please get in touch. 

The loose web of connections from the web, mainly from Twitter, have made the last several years brilliant and I have learnt a hell of a lot. I am hoping those connections can help me find some things to make the next several years even better. If you can help me with my search in any way that would be fantastic e.g.

  • Share my requests for help e.g. this post, wildly on the web
  • Tell your colleagues and contacts about me if you think I would be a good fit for a role
  • Let me take you for a coffee/glass of wine to chat about the future and stuff
  • Offer me an interesting job

You can find out much more about me at these places.

 

UPDATE: This is how my search for an ‘Aden shaped role’ is going 

UPDATE 2: Still searching

 

Thanks,

Aden

PSD2 – the second coming is nigh

Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.

Not only is PSD2 (Payments Services Directive) the second iteration of PSD it is also seen as the second coming by many in financial services, particularly that random bunch of new players broadly placed under the brand of Fintech. If you are not familiar with the 170 odd page delight of a read then here is a link to it though I highly recommend Starling Bank’s far shorter explanation, which also exudes their excitement for it. For a longer more detailed insight try this from Out-Law.

The excitement is brought about due to PSD2 promising to deliver an open payment network through APIs (PSD2 will do much more but this is the bit people are focusing on most). These will let companies with the appropriate license have the ability to make payment instructions upon bank accounts. Those with access are known as payment initiation services providers (PISPs) i.e. make payments, move money. The second group can aggregate transaction data from multiple institutions and are known as account information services providers (AISPs). The final text of the European wide regulation got rubber stamped in the European Parliament at the beginning of October. This means that by the beginning of December the countdown will begin. Member states and their banks / financial service providers have two years to implement the changes and place them into law. By the 1st January 2018 (if not a smidgen before) the second coming will be upon us.

In parallel to this in the UK we have the Open Banking Working Group (OBWG). A group brought together in response to the request from the Treasury for information on APIs and open data in banking. The OBWG is co chaired by The Open Data Institute and is represented by a host of experts across six sub committees from many aspects of finance. The aims around data access are similar to that of PSD2 (and their will be alignment) but the individual customer seems to be slightly more of a focus for the OBWG.

Let me state that I personally think both of these initiatives are brilliant. Access of this nature has been long needed to not only stimulate the market but more importantly give banking customers (pretty much all of us) access to our own transaction data in a more useful form than a downloadable spreadsheet. I have said this plenty of times in the past. The ability for payment instructions to be made on top of the existing accounts effectively means that the entire banking experience could be replaced by a third-party service and allow you top operate your banking across all institutions, with which you have a relationship, in a single interface.

That above are just the obvious use cases, these changes should unleash upon the world a wave of innovation like nothing the financial services world has seen…or maybe not. Plenty of people are imagining more such as Mondo, David, Matt etc. All good.

But I have a few concerns….

Banking is a slow moving ass and sometimes needs the stick of regulation to get it moving. What if the mandatory nature of this regulatory stick does not lead to an ideal solution to the problem it is trying to fix? The Technical Standards for PSD2 are 12 months behind the regulatory standards. This means there will be 12 months of analysing/designing/guessing how the compliant solutions should operate. The authentication methods to be used for access to data and the creation of payment instructions are key implementations upon which the hopes of many rest. Get this wrong and implement some clunky awful and unworkable solution and the blossom of innovation they hope to nurture will never appear.

Are the right level of people involved in the creation of these technical standards? I hope the very companies that desire this the most get to have an at least equal say in the design of these access methods. I also hope that people with experience of doing this kind of change before are also involved. For example the W3C (Web Governing Standards Body) are currently building out the Web Payments charter. The timescales align very well but I believe the twain have never met. The PSD2 proposed changes feel like they should fit perfectly or at least very well with the changing nature of payments as part of the fabric of the web. Leaving this design to bankers and policy makers alone feels risky to me.

In the UK the Open Banking Working Group have explicitly stated OAUTH as a mechanism of choice to be used for delegated access to data which is good news. While it may not be perfect it is a widely used standard and I believe these changes should be looking to use the best of breed of today rather than trying to create new standards.

Another aspect I am not clear on (and maybe completely wrong about) is the nature of access available to the individual customer. PSD2 refers to PISPs and AISPs but what about the humble user? Can I choose where I plug that data? Will I only be able to choose from an approved (by whom?) list of licensed and regulated AISPs? Can I not use the data myself in my own apps if I have the talent to build such things? Can I link that data to AISPs in other countries? What about companies outside the jurisdiction of PSD2? Are there rules around this data that make it far more sacred than it needs to be? People have been able to download and upload spreadsheets wherever they see fit for decades.

This automated feed does indeed bring greater risk but that being said hampering it with rules for rules sake may present more of a risk to growth than the threat risk perceived.

I am also concerned that banks will see this as yet another regulatory demand placed upon them outside of their business strategy. This means compliance as a bare minimum and nothing else. This is what the Fintech horde are hoping for. Complacency compliance instead of the incumbent providers taking the massive opportunity before them and making a real digital step forward. Clearly some banks will play this differently to others and history will no doubt show who played their hand most wisely. This is another reason that the people driving PSD2 cannot just be the banks or the regulators.

And finally…what happens when Apple/Amazon/Facebook/Google apply for their AISP/PISP licenses. Second coming gets a California style hype boost then and bank boardrooms across Europe hit the panic button. Maybe.

PSD represents a fundamental change to the way banking operates across Europe and possible the most seismic shift in ‘centuries of stony sleep’. The implementation of it will be key to ensure this delivers truly open payments and data access and not just the change that satisfies the regulation minimums. Let’s see what happens between now and January 2018 and then beyond.

Surely some revelation is at hand;
Surely the Second Coming is at hand.
The Second Coming! Hardly are those words out
When a vast image out of Spiritus Mundi
Troubles my sight: somewhere in sands of the desert
A shape with lion body and the head of a man,
A gaze blank and pitiless as the sun,
Is moving its slow thighs, while all about it
Reel shadows of the indignant desert birds.
The darkness drops again; but now I know
That twenty centuries of stony sleep
Were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle,
And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?

The Second Coming by W. B. Yeats

Make things open, it makes things better e.g. blog freely

I was lucky enough to see Ben Terrett, the then Head of Design at the Government Digital Service (GDS), speak at the RSA in September. His talk was entitled ‘From Persuasion to Usability – Design Meets the Internet’ about how design at it’s best. One of the great things (out of many) that Ben spoke is making things open makes them better. One of the examples of this openness at GDS is through their great use of the humble blog.

People at all levels in the organisation write posts about the work they are doing/have done, the things they have learnt, the things that are broken etc. That sounds a really simple thing to do but in my experience getting that level of commitment to publishing in this way is not an easy task. Sharing that widely inside an organisation is not the norm let alone outside.

Now GDS are spending public money so they are of public interest but I think companies that are part of the private sector in competitive industries would do well to copy the model. I asked a question to Ben during the talk about whether or not this could work in the private sector and his original answer was that he did not know as he had not tried it but that it should.

‘Gov.uk is a public project done with public money so you should publish everything have full transparency. But at the same time we believe in being open…one of the founding principles of the Internet is being open. In a private organisation it would be slightly different.

Having said that the examples that I have shown you there are font sizes and colours and I can’t see that there is any competitive advantage in keeping those secret. I think the privacy thing would be way smaller than you think it would be. Certainly you should be open by default…Openness also means just talking about what you are doing…having a culture of blogging, having visible leadership, having leaders that are on Twitter, blogging, talking about what they are doing…’

Ben CEO Fonts

I love Ben’s answer. He makes it sound so simple yet in my limited experience it is a very hard thing to achieve unless that belief is shared at the very top. You have to have enough people in the organisation that are bought into it and that are also willing to write. When Ben or Mike Bracken or Tom Loosemore post it shows that this is something right from the top and that, I imagine, encourages others to get involved (I wonder how people are chosen to post actually?). It is not just for leaders though it is for all levels of staff through out the organisation.

The ability to write in this way is a real element of leadership. The encouragement of others to do so even greater. The written word can be easily misconstrued and is also almost irrevocable and as such maybe is seen as an act of transparency too far for some so called leaders.

There are other issues with this way of writing and publishing. The simple act of giving people a voice and a platform to speak flies in the face of the command and control structure of most large organisations. It may collide with the professional one way broadcast output from the communications department

Also for most the day to day work alone prevents this kind of sharing and writing when it is not deemed important. When all that matters is hitting deadlines then how you got there is seen as of little consequence and is not reflected in your annual objectives. Showing your working out helps join up an organisation because no doubt someone is facing similar challenges everyday.

GDS Blog

The blog is such a simple thing on the face of it but so few companies have really used them well. In the constant strive for the almost mythical differentiation, then doing some basic things really well can make you stand out a mile. Most people get excited about the new platforms and new forms of media and reach and sharing but ultimately writing openly, honestly and interestingly is a powerful skill. The blog can amplify the impact of those words greatly and I wish we saw more good usage of blogs inside and outside of companies.

Ben is now at the Co-Operative along with other colleagues from the GDS including Mike Bracken. One of the first public things they have done is to start a blog. ‘Make things open, it makes things better’ is seemingly far from a platitude.

You can watch Ben’s brilliant talk and Q&A here. He covered a hell of a lot more than the one thing I have written about.

Future of transactions workshop homework

A couple of weeks ago I was invited to a future of transactions workshop by James Haycock of Adaptive Lab. It was facilitated and designed by the brilliant John Wilshire and Scott Smith. This post is not really about the workshop (as it is a work in progress and if you want to know more you should speak to Adaptive Lab, and you really should because it was brilliant) but it is about the prework for it.

The task was to come up with three scenarios on potential impacts to transactions in the next 5-7 years.

I typed a lot of notes and half thoughts the night before. I just rediscovered those notes and have decided to tidy them up slightly and post them. Mainly so I remember them a little better hopefully. We touched on some of the topics below in the workshop but certainly not all.

These fragments will hopefully form parts of a series of posts in the future but here is the list

How far can transparency go? Transparency is the big one for me. Governments and organisations are pretty bad at it.
Gov decisions, lobbying.
New civic infrastructures? Bank network how it works becomes open to public scrutiny.
Data source proving.
Tax regime badging of providers? Certificates for businesses that pay taxes well?
The buffer of banking? Buffers radical transparency around wages, customer numbers, funding, burn rate etc is great. What if a bigger org took that approach?

Show the end to end of real transactions. Explain the cost by showing the steps? Ties into transparent banking? Would also be horrific reading.

This call is being recorded for training purposes. Access to all calls, transcripts, system entries, mistakes highlighted? Compliance failures in realtime? Human to human contact too risky in the future because of regulatory regimes?

Sensor capability in phones, augmented wearables. Sharing value chains. Bounds of awkwardness. Medical data. Consumption data. Obvious but…

DNA pay. Saliva quicker than a fiver. Oof.
Awkward biometrics. Contextual I.e. Callsign. Face interactions. Photo with ID via webcam. Selfie sign up / payments. Stolen fingerprints. Face/off

Digital identity – addressless, real name, differing personas, countryless,
Tokenised payments. One time vs long time customer?
Entitlements commercial vs personal? Blurred lines between who you are at work?
Identity a Mixture of software and hardware. Paper and digital. How will that mix play out? Embedded? Non-hack able?

Banking products of today too blunt. Still tied to a branch. Sort code.

Regulatory – 5 years after PSD2? What other regulatory changes will there be (cyber hardening etc.)
Combined data by user, regulatory analysis of merge. Other industry equivalents? API for everything? Then what?

Using regs to drive change may not deliver the best solution. Regulatory fails? European cookie, bank account 7 day transfer, regs / bodies build joint industry solutions not fit? PAYM

Personal Data Stores – can that hand back to customers work? Technical/design challenge to overcome apathy. Can it scale? Will it be just a nerds dream?

Does anyone really have the power to tie together? Gift data? Sell data? Inherit data?

Crafted me vs real me vs aspirational me. Spotify / scrobble / Netflix watching. Share who you want to be. Share who you really are? APML for marketing vs APML for health service. .

VRM – purchase power. Tender vs browse. Personal RFP? Only viable for some transactions. Primark not big players?

Transfer – soft SIM. No lock in to anything. As the sign up gets ever more seamless, saying goodbye will become just as seamless. Hardware? Lock out free?

Midata for social web? Apple? Apps purchased on Apple = purchased on Android if you switch? Banking corollary?

Ecosystem of finance? Business models? No data analysis allowed/must be fully public?

Backlash to tech? Artisanal banking. Paper & branch only. Handwritten ledger. IT free bank? No longer possible?

W3C payments. Money at the HTTP level? What does it mean. Walled garden payment silos vs cross industry collab?

Digital transfer of assets, algorithmic proof.
Decentralised dreams. Stay as dreams. A singular entity usually creates the ‘best’ solution that goes mainstream.

America stops running the world? DNS, money routing, AML? Not everything has to go through them. New pipes. whatever happened to WiMAX? User made mesh networks on a huge scale. Linked to our own personal Loons.

Like I said a bit of a random splurge but an interesting (for me) reflection on where my head went in relation to that question at that time. Pretty proud of the fact that I did not mention the Blockchain…way too obvious. Thanks for the invite it was a great event and switched back on long dormant parts of my brain.

Proper Digital Engagement

I am a big fan of well designed notifications. I have seen a couple of fantastic ones recently.

This one by Capital One highlighting a rising charge

https://twitter.com/javan/status/632180313016274944http://thefinancialbrand.com/53637/mondo-digital-mobile-banking-experience/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

 

And this one by new guys Mondo, which is a simple but beautiful you have spent this much today.

Mondo

From this article on them over at Financial Brand.

Proper digital engagement not just talking at people on Twitter.

We are so close to the perfect mainstream mobile…

…yet still so far and there are a few things stopping us from getting there. Yes I am currently trying to buy a ‘Midrange’ Android phone and yes it is pissing me off.

The biggest, well smallest, problem is hardware vendors obsession with less memory for ‘selected markets’ i.e. poorer markets. The 8GB smartphone is no use to anyone rich or poor, when the OS takes up over half that space. Aimed at emerging markets because people who can’t spend a lot on phones can’t buy apps or take photos they must assume.

When will smartphone makers just agree that 32gb is the entry level for today stop using 8GB models to make people think about a flagship purchase instead. Apple keep their previous years model available but just with 8GB so no one thinks about actually buying old models and keeping the secondhand market thriving. Stop being dicks.

In fact 64gb is not really a stretch. 32gb / 64gb NAND chips are currently trading between $1.50 to $3.00. If the baseline for all smartphones was 32gb the price of those chips would fall through the floor. I know the margins are thin and the rest of the components will be sub dollar if not sub 10c but come on…move the ecosystem along without adding more complexity and confusion to your customers. Also why don’t phone companies just install the OS on a separate memory chip? Limit their own OS to a certain size and give customers the stated space so 8GB really is 8Gb not around 2gb once the OS is installed (yes I know the software needs to allow for that etc.).

In the UK the Moto G 3rd gen is £179 for 8Gb and £209 for the 16gb (which also features dual SIM slots) is currently the king of the mid range. But it looks like £30 for about 75c of memory. Not quite Apple levels of price gouging but still it looks like the 8GB versions are just useless and limiting the life of devices (which clearly to sell more phones you obviously want to do, especially if you make phones but it looks increasingly like a shitty short term strategy and very wasteful). Although I suspect Motorola also want people to consider their higher end flagship e.g. the Moto X Play.

We have the basic components for the perfect handset for most, yet no company really seems to be capable of executing on it. For me the perfect handset looks something like this.

Perfect Device

  • 4.5 – 5″ screen. I don’t want anything bigger, 4.5″ is plenty big enough for most. The iPhone 6 screen is 4.7″, My 4S is is just 3.5″ and I manage just fine…not the size, it is what you do with it etc.
  • 2gb of RAM, should be enough for most things
  • A decent enough quadcore processor, something that runs current OS versions well and is good enough for the next few too
  • 720p resolution is just fine
  • 32GB of Flash storage memory, 64Gb even better
  • MicroSD Card slot
  • 3000+Mah Battery (bigger, again better. The thing should last a full working day of real usage)
  • Android 5.0/5,1 as close to stock as possible with a good track record for updates
  • As good a camera as is possible. 13mp seems fairly entry level but stats are meaningless here just make it good and fast and decent in low light

How skinny or heavy the phone is not really of major concern. Yes it needs to be made of sound materials with a decent look about it but a rectangular device is what we are aiming for. I currently use an iPhone 4s in a Skech case which is over 13mm thick. And weighs over 160g. I would trade weight, thinness and screen size for battery life everytime. There must be some sort of golden ratio for these things, a sort of mobile phone version of knob feel? Pocket/hand feel? (this is reaching peak innuendo now).

I want all this for under £200 I expect it to be available for nearer to £100 by the end of 2016. These parts are available in devices under this price today just not seemingly all in one device. A few of the Chinese brands are getting very close but those devices are not widely available in the UK and are not sold by reputable/mainstream suppliers or directly to the UK.

Contenders

 

The Nubia Mini 9 by ZTE looks like an almost perfect device apart from there seemingly being no 32gb version and it not really being for sale over yet here and may never be widely.

The Moto G 3rd Gen feels like it is getting close (they are hampered by their confusing naming scheme, average cameras and their various market models defined mainly by stupid storage restrictions).

The Sony M4 Aqua was a great device crippled by an 8gb only model (in the UK). Look at Sony’s own website lavishly praising the device on all fronts except one. Try and find out how much memory it has. 

The Sony M5 looks even better but Sony have said they will not launch it in the UK instead going with the much more expensive Z line (Z5 entry level = £439).

The company that really nails the ‘good enough standard for mobile devices’ will win a huge share if they can execute right. Insisting on making a multitude of SKUs for different markets and crippling them with low memory to stop people buying them over flagship models or just plain not making them available in all markets is just annoying. Sony the M5 is a total winner of a handset. No wonder you are reputedly losing 1 million dollars a day through your handset division. Employ fewer MBAs and more designers.

All the pieces are there to make what I see as the perfect mainstream handset, just that for a variety of business model reasons or design blindness, no one seems willing to make it. Will a company be brave enough/insightful enough to do it and execute well enough to disrupt the market and force the other players to raise their game?

More Issues

Another bugbear of mine is the way mobile phones are sold. Feels like the purchasing shift is only just starting to switch away from devices all being bundled with a contract and provider so the devices are not sold the same way as other electronic less infrastructure bound devices. Roll on soft SIMs.

This powerful play by telcos also means handsets are sold by a number of bizarre firms you have barely heard of that get them from who knows where. The mainstream retailers sell a few pay as you go / SIM free but it is still very limited / focused on a particular telco. Roll on more unlocked direct sales from manufacturers. Xiaomi, ZTE, Huawei et al have a great opportunity to really disrupt the way phones are made and sold. No way I am going to commit to a 2 year contract at £45 as I know have a contract under £15 a month for all you can use minutes and text and a good few GBs of data. The model of phone ownership for me has changed.

If only Apple would stop being ‘luxury’ providers and make a spec of iPhone that matches the above and prices it around the £250 mark. I would not be considering an Android device. I suspect it would dent Android growth significantly. Game over record profits at Apple I suspect as well though as fewer people buy the £700 flagship devices. Business is complicated innit.

Fix it

Come on handset and telcos sort it out. Move the market and set 32gb as the standard for memory. Build the best phone you can at the right price point. Your focus on market/region specific devices is crippling you. Don’t force purchase choices by setting limitations aimed at making people think about the next level up. Fewer models, fewer restrictive features. The less flash memory the more your brand disappears off my shopping list in a flash.

Blockchain Bandwagon

As more and more banks & VC’s start investing in Bitcoin and ever more the Blockchain it seems this almost nursery school age technology is destined to play an ever greater and more influential role in the future of finance. It is being breathlessly lauded as the potential destroyer of almost every complex process of today around the transferral of goods, services, documents, IP, identity, contracts, laws, house ownership etc. etc.

I have not really written anything about Bitcoin or Blockchains before but someone asked me recently what I thought about them. I have to admit I have not put in the time to really understand the mathematics behind The Blockchain. My almost A Level standard maths studies at college and university fell apart around plotting 3D sine waves. I never studied cryptography. I am however fascinated by the fact the technology behind the Blockchain has seemingly solved the problems around transferral of ‘digital assets’. Cryptographic proof of transfer, units of work distributed across a network, the ledger of those transfers open to all. It sounds great.

I also never studied economics so I can’t tell if the Blockchain relates well to some age old theory that economists seem to like. ‘It is just like fractional reserve banking’ or something something gold standard. No idea.

The thing that interests me most about it is its openness. The fact that this has allowed a sizeable ecosystem of businesses and applications to build up around it in such a short period of time. This is also seemingly the one thing none of these keen investors are interested in. I haven’t done an MBA either so I know nothing about business models really but I believe that open and lots of funding from VC’s/banks don’t really go hand in hand.

I liked Fred Wilson’s comment that it could become a protocol like the foundation of the Internet. Will the development around the blockchain mean that good enough beats over prescribed just has it has done in the past with the likes of TCP/IP vs OSI. I am watching the W3C Web Payments group with interest but I feel it is going to be a very difficult challenge to supplant the existing rails/work with them well enough to make everyone happy. We are headed for another set of silos surely? I do hope not.

I also like what companies such as Eris are building. Blockchains without the Bitcoins. Build your own. It is just a database at the end of the day (and apparently has something to do with marmots). In fact everywhere you turn there is something new. Some reimagining of something old but in a new time. The Elements Project being another interesting avenue of investigation/work. The openness just allows people to build and therefore we might see some age old problems, that the exisiting rails just can’t technically or economically support, finally become a reality e.g. do blockchains/sidechains allow micropayments to move closer to viability?

It feels like it has further potential to be the basis for real changes to the financial rails. The complex back office processes required to facilitate the movement of assets and traded goods feels particularly ripe for improvement. This seems to be where the bulk of the investment from banks is focusing.

Maybe some companies or industries will create their own ledgers and currencies for specific types of trade. Again a rich angle of investigation. But I do wonder about the what if they did some of this experimentation in he open? Made a public ledger of an exisiting trade flow? Allow others to access all that information? Build upon it?

What this openness and high speed evolution and creation has done is chipped away at the rules and regulations and made people in governments believe their may be a better way. Where once the view might have been this will definitely be regulated out of existence it is now clear that some countries will do the very opposite. It is also driving the debate about opening up the networks further. Midata v2 / standardised banking APIs loom large in the UK. Payments Service Directive 2 (the revenge) includes some great stuff around access to account for third parties to gain a foothold / build an ecosystem upon.

Will all this investment bring further innovation, smooth the edges and bring about the manufactured normalcy field to make Blockchains and crypto currencies more understandable / accessible to mainstream users? Or will the more protocol like nature mean it will merge into the vapours of the cloud and become another strand of plumbing few need to truly understand.

For me the key point is the open nature of Bitcoin and it’s by product the Blockchain is the thing that make it great. I would like to see more investment from banks to build things in the open / for others to build upon freely and see where it takes us. Not sure capitalism works like that but we shall see.

From my lofty position of having pretty much zero education in the relevant technical / economic areas on the subject, these are my reckons.

The shapes of things

In addition to last weeks post about shelves and boxes that fit them perfectly I have more dull thoughts about searching for things for my house. We have had a new bathroom fitted recently. We are at the finishing stages now and we are buying accessories. We are looking to solve an old problem and our new shower has brought about a new problem.

1. Why aren’t toothbrusher holders designed for elctric toothbrushes?

Tiny little pots that even in pairs can barely hold four electric toothbrushes and two tubes of toothpaste (adults and kids tubes). My Google searching has not revealed much that answers this tech savvy, dental hygeine aware, nuclear family need. Bravo to Next though who have.

Next toothbrush holder

Only downside is their range of colours / designs don’t match out bathroom. So close yet so frustratingly far. Next, please do a plain grey version of the sandstone range.

2. Why are there no bath mats that go round corners?

The door to our new shower is on a corner. I would like an L Shaped Bath Mat. I can only find this one which seems to no longer be made and also looks like it is from the 70s

l shaped

My only option it feels at the moment is to get a large square one and cut it. I mean it is 2015 can’t I 3D print / weave one on demand yet? No robo looms in the old mill towns of West Yorkshire? Pah. Better yet maybe a talented artist on Folksy could make one for me?

My interior deisgn inspired reckon today is something about spotting the ever changing user need. Designing an item with the bigger context in mind of how it will be used in an ever evolving space. Also why isn’t this stuff easier to search for? Come on Web 3.0 nerds solve this massively complex problem so lazy fat people like me can buy better bath mats and toothbrush holders. It is what the marketing dollars are VC funding you to fix.

PS: I need to think of some tenuous links to banks and stuff for my day job. I think user needs driven products is an obvious one to make though. Surely the Blockchain can solve this problem? It has been mooted to solve almost everything else. Done.

Expedit Ecosystem

I assume that at some point that most of Europe and increasingly the rest of the world have owned, used or set their eyes on IKEA’s Expedit/Kallax shelving unit. Picture below to jog the memory of those not familiar with IKEA product names.

This tweet from one of the great Internet Dan’s reminded me of it’s ubiquity

https://twitter.com/iamdanw/status/613334272645140481

A brilliantly insightful wry aside on the potential ubiquity of Elon’s garage destined wall hung battery. What happens when they fit inside the Expedit shelves everyone has? Or something like that. I am not as smart as Dan.

This brought back memory of my recent attempts to find suitable lego storage that would fit inside the Expedit’s hollows. I just wanted to search for something that would allow me to stack two boxes on top of each other and fit nicely in one hole. I searched high and low for boxes of similar dimensions but the semantic web has just not progressed that far to allow me to search for a ‘transparent box with a lid that is less than 33.5 cm wide, 38.5 cm deep and no taller than 34cm’. Also why is the aperture of the Expedit so frustratingly not a perfect cube?

When I first started searching I expected to find a wealth of things already. An ecosystem of Expedites (people who build things to  fit inside Expedit’s) as people sought to fill the holes in inventive ways and make nice products others could buy. Aside from clever alterations and Heath Robinsonesque contraptions on IKEA Hacks and Pinterest there really wasn’t much you could actually just buy. I thought maybe there are loads of projects on Kickstarter? I found one.

Eventually after a longer time than I care to admit searching I came across these cake boxes on Lakeland. They fit very well.

So my overwrought reckon is that there is clearly a market for things to fit inside Expedit shelves. IKEA should standardise the size / make more stuff for it than the limited boxes, drawers and a wine rack that they sell today. Build a ecosystem of things around those ubiquitous holes. A real opportunity for people to tag up their existing storage / shelf converting wears with some decent sizes and the badge of honour ‘Fits Expedit Exactly’ or ‘Klearly Kallax Kompatible’ (maybe that latter one needs some work)

Big opportunity for Elon perhaps? Stop all this futuristic reinventing the way we power our homes, fuel our cars and get into space and make a range of clever storage boxes for IKEA’s famous shelving units. I still need some better LEGO storage for my son. If anyone more disciplined or focused wants to do a Kickstarter around a LEGO storage range for Expedit then count me in.